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The high risk was initially issued at 06Z for a 30% probability of significant tornadoes; this risk area was subsequently expanded and upgraded to a 45% probability of significant tornadoes, exceeding the minimum high-risk criteria at the 1630Z outlook. This high risk produced the second known tornado watch with a >95% chance of all hazards ...
High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 13:00 UTC on May 6. Starting April 30, the Storm Prediction Center noted that certain models, including the ECMWF, forecasted a multi-day period of high instability and supportive wind shear across the Southern and Central Plains, [10] and by May 1, a 15% risk was added across Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. [11]
The Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks (AC), consisting of categorical and probabilistic forecasts describing the general threat of severe convective storms over the contiguous United States for the next six to 192 hours (Day 1 through Day 8). These outlooks are labeled and issued by day, and are issued up to five times per day.
A widespread, deadly, and historic [5] tornado outbreak affected large portions of the Midwestern, Southern and Eastern United States on March 31 and April 1, 2023, the result of an extratropical cyclone that also produced blizzard conditions in the Upper Midwest. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued a rare high risk for severe weather in ...
On the evening of March 24, 2023, a large, violent and destructive multi-vortex wedge tornado struck the communities of Rolling Fork and Silver City, Mississippi, killing 17 people and injuring at least 165 others. [1][2][3][4] The tornado was the strongest and deadliest of a widespread tornado outbreak in the Southern United States between ...
High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 16:30 UTC on March 25. On March 22, the Storm Prediction Center issued a broad 15% risk contour from Eastern Texas to the Central Gulf Coast States, highlighting the potential for multiple rounds of severe storms to move through the region.
This is a list of meso-gamma mesoscale discussions, which are issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ’s Storm Prediction Center for small-scale analysis of mesoscale features, typically during high-confidence and high-impact severe weather events. [1][2][3][4][5] These can be for tornadoes believed to be at least EF2 on ...
Will Georgia get snow or icy weather during the winter this year? Here’s what Farmers’ Almanac and National Weather Service predict.