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Markov model. In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to model pseudo-randomly changing systems. [1] It is assumed that future states depend only on the current state, not on the events that occurred before it (that is, it assumes the Markov property ). Generally, this assumption enables reasoning and computation with ...
In mathematics, a stochastic matrix is a square matrix used to describe the transitions of a Markov chain. Each of its entries is a nonnegative real number representing a probability. [1] [2] : 9–11 It is also called a probability matrix, transition matrix, substitution matrix, or Markov matrix. [2] : 9–11 The stochastic matrix was first ...
A Markov chain is a type of Markov process that has either a discrete state space or a discrete index set (often representing time), but the precise definition of a Markov chain varies. For example, it is common to define a Markov chain as a Markov process in either discrete or continuous time with a countable state space (thus regardless of ...
Markov decision process. In mathematics, a Markov decision process ( MDP) is a discrete-time stochastic control process. It provides a mathematical framework for modeling decision making in situations where outcomes are partly random and partly under the control of a decision maker. MDPs are useful for studying optimization problems solved via ...
Markov chains prediction on 50 discrete steps. Again, the transition matrix from the left is used. Using the transition matrix it is possible to calculate, for example, the long-term fraction of weeks during which the market is stagnant, or the average number of weeks it will take to go from a stagnant to a bull market.
A continuous-time Markov chain ( CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...
Markov kernel. In probability theory, a Markov kernel (also known as a stochastic kernel or probability kernel) is a map that in the general theory of Markov processes plays the role that the transition matrix does in the theory of Markov processes with a finite state space. [1]
A hidden Markov model (HMM) is a Markov model in which the observations are dependent on a latent (or "hidden") Markov process (referred to as ). An HMM requires that there be an observable process Y {\displaystyle Y} whose outcomes depend on the outcomes of X {\displaystyle X} in a known way.